The final polls give Hillary Clinton a narrow lead over Donald Trump. If she were to win tomorrow, what kind of Congress would she face? The House looks safely red: the Democratic nominee would need a much bigger lead for her party to dream of overturning the Republican majority there. Meanwhile in the Senate, where the map seemed to favour Democrats this time around (only a third of the chamber is elected at any election), polls and betting markets suggest the odds of a Democratic takeover are roughly evens. If Mrs Clinton becomes president but Republicans retain control of both chambers, even basic tasks such as filling the vacant Supreme Court seat may prove impossible. If Mr Trump wins, by contrast, that would suggest the polls missed a Republican surge. He would have both houses of Congress, plus the ability to appoint a swing vote on the Court. Trump unbound, in other words.
In Congress: America’s election. Publicado en The Economist Espresso. Lunes 7 de Noviembre de 2016.